Betting Strategy for Test Match Cricket
With a potential five days of action, the betting strategy for Test Match cricket differs compared to shorter formats. With that in mind, there are several key factors to keep in mind when browsing your betting site of choice.
Test Matches end in draws more often than shorter formats
Perhaps most importantly when loosing at Test Match cricket, the prospect of a drawn match has to be taken much more seriously. Although these games are much longer than any other form of cricket, each team has two innings. In One Day Internationals or Twenty20 matches, once each side has batted once, the game is over. These shorter forms of cricket can end in ties of course, but it’s unlikely and isn’t usually quoted as a match result outcome.
This means a team facing a significant run chase in the fourth innings of a Test Match can choose to play defensively, not concerning themselves with the number of runs scored. Instead, if the team in question can avoid losing all their wickets until the end of the match, it will be declared a draw. This happens no far how behind one team may be on the scoreboard.
Be aware of injuries and team news
We won’t know for sure how a team is lining up for a Test match until after the toss has taken place. This is usually when the captain confirms who is in the playing 11 for the game. However, many international sides select a squad of players a few days in advance.
Bettors can use this time to familiarise themselves with those who might be involved and how they’ve previously performed. This is especially useful if there are debutants or players with little experience in the Test arena.
Research recent matches at the ground
It’s useful to look back at recent matches on the ground where the match will take place. This can help inform how easy it is to score runs and what type of bowling is suited. For example, it’s advised to know what the average first innings score has been in similar matches to the one you’re focused on.
There will be a significant difference between the expected run totals of a game at the Chinaswamy Stadium in Bangalore compared to Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi. Certain players may also thrive at specific grounds that suit their game.
This shouldn’t be taken as firm reasoning for a bet of course, but there are definitely trends to be aware of before placing a selection. Betting sites will take this kind of information into account when preparing their markets, so being up to date with the statistics will help you identify favourable angles.
How does the weather forecast look?
Cricket is the sport most affected by the weather. Quite simply, if it’s raining then play is almost always suspended until the rain stops. If you’re betting on cricket, it’s important to consider the weather forecast. With two innings per side in a Test match, losing time to weather delays will increase the chances of a draw.
Meanwhile, overcast conditions generally assist the bowling side. This is especially true for fast bowlers as the ball is likely to move around more than if the sky is clear overhead. Conversely, batting teams are likely to enjoy more favourable conditions if the sun is out, especially early on in a match.
The weather forecast can also be noticeably different from one day to the next. While it may be possible to complete the full 90 overs on day one of a Test Match, future days could be much different, or vice versa. Similarly, one or more of the days may be played in glorious sunshine whereas others can be overcast, cloudy conditions. Each of these different game states has an impact on how bettors should assess potential selections.
Consider the in-play cricket betting markets
With some Test matches taking five days to complete, there is no rush to get your bets in place. While some bettors prefer pre-match wagers, there is plenty of scope for in-play betting. With around six hours of play each day, it’s a perfectly reasonable strategy to see how the early stages unfold before getting involved.
Many betting sites will list dozens of different markets throughout the course of a five-day match. Popular options include a team’s innings runs, how many runs a certain batsman will score or when the next wicket will fall.
The introduction of cash out with some betting sites in India has provided another option for in-play punters. If a bet is going well then depending on the market sometimes you’ll be able to take a return before the end result is known. For example, if you back the bowling team to win a Test match and they take a flurry of wickets, you may be able to cash in your original bet for a profit.
The changing nature of a Test Match pitch over five days
When a Test Match is played, the pitch involved remains the same one across the five days. The same 22-yard strip is used for the entire game. It’s important to be aware of how the play and conditions will affect the pitch throughout the duration of the match.
Assuming a Test Match is played in dry conditions, it’s likely to be conducive to spin bowling as it gets older. Cracks and footmarks from players’ spiked shoes can make the ball behave differently in the later days compared to the early going. Generally, the conditions get tougher for the batsmen as the match wears on.